On the other hand,上海会所he past, the Fed now has t

to take the delayed effect of balance sheet reduction conducted earlier into its consideration of rate cuts. The current phase-out of balanc

上海会所e sheet reduction already has some easing effect, and only after the balance sheet reduction ends in September, can its impact become clearer.

By incorporating that impact into consideration, the Fed can draw up a better rate cut plan that maximizes effects of the policy mix.上海会所

Thirdly, the market may have overestimated how much the Fed will cut the rates. There may be no more than three rate cuts by the end of 2020.

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard – the major advocate of this

round of rate cut – has suggested the use of the modern-day Taylor rule, which fairly well explains th上海会所

e Fed’s interest rate decisions. Even based on this model adopted by dovish Fed officials, we found that the degree of rate cuts may be weaker than m

上海会所arket expectation for quite some time going forward: at most one cut by the end of this year and likely two or three cuts by the end of 2020.

By contrast, before the June FOMC meeting, the market expected a higher-than-85-percent chance of more than one rate cut by the

end of this year as well as an about 60-percent chance of more than three cuts by the end of 2020, according to Bloomberg data.上海会所品茶微信

In conclusion, we think as economic downside pressure gradually emerges, the Fed will have to kick off the rate cut cycle. But the rate cut si上海会所品茶微信

gnal, timing and degree may not measure up to the market expectation. Therefore, two future developments appear possible:

First, investor sentiment can reverse drastically if the Fed’s action fails to meet market expec上海会所品茶微信

tation. Considering the market has fully priced in the unrealistic expectation of rate cuts sinc

e early June, any reversal of expectation can lead to short-term fluctuations of key price signals such as the US Treasury yield cu

rve, the US Dollar Index, and the gold price, which may pose extensive spillover shocks to asset portfolios.

Second, the long-term trend of rate cuts will continue even if the market expectation reverses. In the long

run, the Fed is expected to proceed with rate cuts in a fairly slow and smooth way. This will enlarge the monetary policy room of ot

her major economies and expedite the shift toward an easing global monetary environment, which may in turn lift the sen

timent of global stock markets and ease any currency risk of emerging markets gradually.

Cheng Shi is the managing director, head of research and chief economist of ICBC Interna

tional Holdings Ltd.Qian Zhijun is a senior economist of ICBC International Holdings Ltd.

chitudoudemao.cn

In the 1950s, the Amer 上海千花网try was seen as the

e prototype of how business should be run. Car company executives were seen as the most capable manage

 上海千花网品茶微信rs. In 1953, president Eisenhower chose Charles Wilson, known as “engine Charlie,” to be his Secretary of Defense.

Then, in 1961, president Kennedy chose Ford president Robert McNamara for the same position. (Of course, McNamara’s incredible mismanagement of the war in Vietnam reduced any confidence that car company executives were especially competent.)

By the late 1960s, the “big three “car companies in the US – General Motors, Ford, and Chrysler – formed a virtual oligopoly and turned lazy. 上海千花网

I remember American cars my father bought in these years often overheating and breaking down by the side of the road. Dad would have to stay by the car with my m

other and sisters while I walked a long way to find a service station and arrange a tow. (This was long before mobile phones.) 上海千花网品茶微信

So, American consumers were ready for more competitive Japanese-made cars, which had consistently high

er quality, to enter the market. My father switched to Japanese cars in the 1970s, and never bought another American-made car. 上海千花网

American car companies saw their profits fall and were not able to pay their workers t

he very high wages made possible by a closed, non-competitive market. The US government responded by

 上海千花网品茶微信imposing quotas on the import of Japanese cars and by pushing Japan to rapidly raise the value of the yen.

Obviously, there was a conflict. American consumers benefitted from the cheaper, better cars while workers at the big three saw their jobs become less secure and the

ir wages fall. Fortunately, the protection was only partial and temporary, so the competition eventually forced US carmakers to improve.

Competition is at the heart of the current disputes over globalization and technology. On net, the spread of econo 上海千花网品茶微信

mic opportunities around the world has been a great boon. Many products are more widely and cheaply available than ever before.

Many countries, including China and India, have greatly reduced poverty and given opportunities to their people that would have been undreamed of by earlier ge 上海千花网

nerations. American and Western European companies and consumers have greatly benefitted.

But nobody really likes competition against themselves. Most people like some degree of stability and protection. A worker w

ho has put in 20 or 30 years in an industry will definitely feel that it is unfair to have to move to a much lower-pa

ying service job. A company facing new competitors will try to convince its home government to stop the competition.

Americans saw many benefits from the second globalization period. As Japanese and, later Chinese, manufacturers began to export t

o the US, many consumer goods became a lot cheaper in US stores. Many American companies made good profits by exporting t

o the newly open markets or by outsourcing manufacturing to cheaper and/or better factories outside the US.

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Australian-born Assan上海千花网品茶微信aximum penal

ty of 10 years in 上海千花网品茶微信prison for each charge. He was initially accused of violating the US Espionage Act.

He was sentenced to 50 weeks in jail in May for breaching the Bail

Act in Britain after having been expelled from Ecuador’s Embassy in London, where he was gra

nted refuge in 2012 while on bail in Britain over sexual assault allegations against him in Sweden.

Assange has said that he does not consent to being extradited to the US over charges related to leaking government secrets.

More evidence and details emerged as prosecutors laid out their cas

e in the federal death penalty trial of Brendt Christe

nsen in the slaying of 26-year-old missing Chinese scholar Zhang Yingying, at the federal courthouse on Thursday.

Christensen, 29, a former physics graduate student at the University of Illinois,

is accused of picking up Zhang at a campus bus stop, then raping and torturing her in his apartment,

www.hbLumei.com

A group of boys on bicycles gather on a dusty side

Foot on pedal, 10-y上海龙凤女神会所ar-old Murtaja Qureiris is about to lead the group of a

round 30 children. In video footage obtained by CNN, he is wearing rolled up denim jean

s and black flip-flops on his feet, and grinning at the camera recor

ding the event. It may look like a regular bike ride, but the group is staging a protest.

Moments after they set off, Qureiris gets lost in the sea of boys, strug

gling to keep up as he lifts a megaphone and presses it against his lips. “The people demand human rights!” he shouts.

As a boy, Qureiris participated in demonstrations like this bike

ride, expressions of dissent in Saudi Arabia’s Eastern Province during the 2011 Arab Spring.

roseway2013.org

Li Xiuzhi (center) poses for a photo with her family on May

Wang Aiqin, one of Li’s granddaughters, said that Li has four sons who

take care of her in rotation every month, along wi

th her three daughters. Li can remember all her family members but is slightly deaf.

Li enjoys good relationships with her neighbors, and is healthy, having used to be a farm worker.

She lives a routine life and does regular exercise, while her diet

consists mainly of porridge, steamed buns and vegetables, Wang said.

“She likes to watch some TV programs of traditional operas, and we bought her a TV set,” Wang said.

www.swicbt.cn

The world’s second-largest economy maintained its fore

eign exchange reserves at $3.095 trillion at the end of April. The reserve amount was stable, altho

ugh it slightly retreated from $3.098 trillion at the end of March, according to the State Administration of Foreign Exchange.

Li Yang, director of the National Institution for Finance and Development of the Chinese Academy

of Social Sciences, said that China is unlikely to sacrifice foreign exchange reserves to de

fend its currency, even if depreciation pressure rises amid any escalation in trade tension.

In May, the offshore RMB exchange rate against the US dollar dropped more than 3 percen

t under market pressure as global investors worried about the escalation of trade friction.

Guo Shuqing, Party secretary of the People’s Bank of China, the central bank, said on Monday that higher US tariffs on Chin

a’s imports triggered financial market volatility, and this also affected the offshore RMB.

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In the men’s singles, the 3rd-ranked Shi Yuqi concede

d the first game 15-21 but found his rhythm and controlled the match to take the last two gam

es 21-5 and 21-11, stunning the world’s No 1 Kento Momota to seal the victory for China.

Earlier, China who has competed in every edition of the biennial tournament, has recorded two Cu

p-winning streaks of four (1995-2001) and six (2005-2015) titles during the 30-year history of the Su

dirman Cup, including the 2015 final which China also defeated Japan 3-0.Strong winds and heavy rainfall hit Bei

jing Sunday morning, causing over 100 flights to be canceled and delays for dozens of trains.

The capital’s meteorological bureau on Saturday af

ternoon issued a yellow alert for lightning expected in the city from 2 am S

unday until 2 pm in the afternoon. It also warned that some areas might face gusts of wind gusts and hail.

shlfat.com

The panda is a rare all-white individual in wild pandas, whi

ch showed that the albinism genes exist

in the wild population of giant pandas in Wolong, he said.

“The panda looked strong and his steps

were steady, a sign that the genetic mutation may not have quite impeded its life,” said Li.

Increasing access to mobile Internet technology has encouraged more

Chinese tourists to share travel experiences online, according to a new report.

Data from TongCheng-eLong, a leading

online travel service platform in China, showed that 60.8 percent of its users had sha

red their travel experiences online in the

past year, mainly by posting photos featuring local scenery or cuisine, said the

report released by TongCheng-eLong and Chinese travel services and social networking platform Mafengwo.

Shooting a minute or two of mobile phone videos on the move has become a

new trend among Chinese travellers, the report said.

The report said 42.3 percent of the platform’s users had shared their travel moments through short videos.

www.ashkk.com

Xi hailed Zhang’s deeds, saying the elderly hero hid the

 for more than 60 years and stayed true to his original aspirations. As a s

oldier, Zhang defended the country; as a civilian, he works for the people’s well-being, Xi said.

Zhang lives a life of simplicity, purity and indifference to fame and fortune, serving as a role

model for military officers, rank-and-file soldiers and veterans across the country, Xi said.

Zhang, a member of the CPC, was a soldier of Brigade 359 of the Northwest Field Ar

my, one of the main forces of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army during the Liberation War between 1945 and 1949.

He was honored by the Northwest Field Army sever

al times for performing meritorious deeds as he braved enemy fire. He was twice given the honorary title of C

www.njLongrun.cn

the country will basically realize rural and agricultura

al modernization and ensure that both urban and rural residents enjoy equal public services.

By the middle of this century, digital villages will be completely built nationwide to advance rural revitalization.

To fulfill such targets, the country will accelerate the constructi

on of IT infrastructures in rural areas, upgrading rural internet facilities and information services.

More efforts will be made to boost the rural digital economy, with wider use of digital techno

logies in agriculture and the development of e-commerce and various emerging creative industries in rural regions.

While providing more support for rural technological innovation, the co

untry will strengthen ecological protection in rural areas with digital technologies.

www.cctif.cn